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政黨傾向對國內遷徙影響之實證研究 = An Empirical Anal...

國立高雄大學經濟管理研究所

政黨傾向對國內遷徙影響之實證研究 = An Empirical Analysis of the Effect of Political Attitude on Migration Decision

紀錄類型:	書目-語言資料,印刷品 : 單行本
並列題名:	An Empirical Analysis of the Effect of Political Attitude on Migration Decision
作者:	賴恩豪,
其他團體作者:	國立高雄大學
出版地:	[高雄市]
出版者:	撰者;
出版年:	2008[民97]
面頁冊數:	44面圖，表 : 30公分;
標題:	遷徙行為
標題:	Migration behavior
電子資源:	http://handle.ncl.edu.tw/11296/ndltd/54397277013649878319
附註:	參考書目：面36-38
附註:	碩士論文--國立高雄大學經濟管理研究所
摘要註:	過去台灣有關遷徙之相關文獻多半將焦點集中於經濟、個人特性變數之探討，例如年齡、教育、婚姻狀況、職業等變數，以政治環境而言，大致上台灣北部地區偏向支持泛藍政黨，相對上台灣南部地區則偏向支持泛綠政黨，且觀察數次選舉結果發現政治環境存在藍者恆藍綠者恆綠的現象，偏向泛藍政黨縣市選舉票數越集中於泛藍政黨候選人，而偏向泛綠政黨縣市選舉票數越集中於泛綠政黨候選人，本篇研究焦點著重於個人政黨傾向對遷徙決策的影響，假設一般民眾偏向遷往政治環境與自己政黨傾向相同地區居住。本文使用民國七十八年及九十年縣市長選舉與民國八十三年及九十一年直轄市選舉各政黨得票率劃分政治環境；使用中央研究院台灣地區社會變遷基本調查及國內遷徙調查兩項調查之資料，建立政治傾向及遷徙行為方程式分析政黨傾向對遷徙行為之影響。根據實證的結果，發現泛綠政黨傾向民眾不遷徙機率高於遷往政治環境與自己政黨傾向相同區域之機率；居住在政治環境與自己政黨傾向相異區域之泛藍民眾遷往政治環境與自己政黨傾向相同區域機率顯著高於不遷徙之機率；若單純探討居住於政治環境與自己政黨傾向相異區域對遷徙行為的影響，實證結果顯示居住於政治環境與自己政黨傾向相異區域，遷往政治環境與自己政黨傾向相同區域之機率低於不遷徙之機率，遷往政治環境與自己政黨傾向相異區域之機率高於不遷徙之機率，政治方面變數與預期之效果並未全部相符，而經濟方面變數影響較為明顯，顯示民眾在考慮遷徙決策時，經濟因素往往佔有舉足輕重的影響效果，而政治性變數影響較為薄弱。 In the past, domestic migration researches focus on economic and characteristic variable, such as age, marriage, education level, and occupation. The Taiwan political environment, north people trend to support pan-blue party, but south people trend to support pan-green party. To observe several recent voting results, votes center on pan-blue candidate in pan-blue political environment, but votes center on pan-green candidate in pan-green political environment. My research objective focus on argue the relationship of political tendency and migration behavior. The article hypothesize people trend to migrate to the same political attitude region. Using 1989 and 2001 voting data to difference pan-blue political environment and pan-green political environment. This research uses a multinomial logit approach to study interregional migration in Taiwan. Data used in this study are selected from the Taiwan Social Change Survey and Domestic Migration Survey for the year 1992 and 2002. According to empirical result, the pan-green people’s probability of migrating to the same political attitude region lower than the probability of stay behind. The pan-blue people who live in difference political environment, their probability of migrating to the same political region higher than the probability of stay behind. People who live in different political attitude region trend to migrate to difference political environment. The political variables have smaller effect on migration behavior. But economic or characteristic variables have larger effect on migration behavior.

政黨傾向對國內遷徙影響之實證研究 = An Empirical Analysis of the Effect of Political Attitude on Migration Decision
賴, 恩豪

政黨傾向對國內遷徙影響之實證研究 = An Empirical Analysis of the Effect of Political Attitude on Migration Decision / 賴恩豪撰 - [高雄市] : 撰者, 2008[民97]. - 44面 ; 圖，表 ; 30公分.
參考書目：面36-38碩士論文--國立高雄大學經濟管理研究所.
遷徙行為Migration behavior

政黨傾向對國內遷徙影響之實證研究 = An Empirical Analysis of the Effect of Political Attitude on Migration Decision
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