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Political self-interest and the econ...

Yale University.

Political self-interest and the economic vote.

紀錄類型:	書目-電子資源 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:	Political self-interest and the economic vote.
作者:	Yoon, David Hyung-Jin.
面頁冊數:	178 p.
附註:	Adviser: Donald Philip Green.
附註:	Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 67-04, Section: A, page: 1520.
Contained By:	Dissertation Abstracts International67-04A.
標題:	Political Science, General.
電子資源:	http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=3214333
ISBN:	9780542658242

Political self-interest and the economic vote.
Yoon, David Hyung-Jin.

Political self-interest and the economic vote. - 178 p.

Adviser: Donald Philip Green.

Thesis (Ph.D.)--Yale University, 2006.

Although the health of a nation's economy has come to be seen as a reliable predictor of election outcome at the national level (e.g., Fair 1978, 1988), the corollary link between economic conditions and electoral behavior at the individual level remains less clear. Kinder and Kiewiet (1979) concluded that while the ups and downs of personal finances had negligible effect on an individual's voting behavior in national elections, the trajectory of the national economy had a significant effect. The hypothesis of the "sociotropic" voter was to be preferred over the "pocketbook" voter in thinking about whose economy mattered in elections. In an influential and far-ranging critique, Kramer (1983) argued that such a conclusion could not be drawn from purely cross-sectional survey data (data type used by Kinder and Kiewiet). According to Kramer, only the analysis of aggregate-level time-series data provides unbiased estimates of the effects of economic conditions on votes. Unfortunately, the two main competing hypotheses cannot be tested on this view. In contrast to previous analyses, I introduce fixed effects panel models to the study of economic voting and analytical methods sensitive to the individual-level time-series structure of the data to test the merits of the respective hypotheses. The sociotropic voter model is found to be the more compelling of the two. Furthermore the methodology employed is shown to cast significant doubt on previous work using either cross-sectional or aggregate time-series data alone. I discuss the broader implications of the findings and place the sociotropic model on a firmer methodological and theoretical foundation.

ISBN: 9780542658242Subjects--Topical Terms:

212408
Political Science, General.

Political self-interest and the economic vote.
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520 # $a Although the health of a nation's economy has come to be seen as a reliable predictor of election outcome at the national level (e.g., Fair 1978, 1988), the corollary link between economic conditions and electoral behavior at the individual level remains less clear. Kinder and Kiewiet (1979) concluded that while the ups and downs of personal finances had negligible effect on an individual's voting behavior in national elections, the trajectory of the national economy had a significant effect. The hypothesis of the "sociotropic" voter was to be preferred over the "pocketbook" voter in thinking about whose economy mattered in elections. In an influential and far-ranging critique, Kramer (1983) argued that such a conclusion could not be drawn from purely cross-sectional survey data (data type used by Kinder and Kiewiet). According to Kramer, only the analysis of aggregate-level time-series data provides unbiased estimates of the effects of economic conditions on votes. Unfortunately, the two main competing hypotheses cannot be tested on this view. In contrast to previous analyses, I introduce fixed effects panel models to the study of economic voting and analytical methods sensitive to the individual-level time-series structure of the data to test the merits of the respective hypotheses. The sociotropic voter model is found to be the more compelling of the two. Furthermore the methodology employed is shown to cast significant doubt on previous work using either cross-sectional or aggregate time-series data alone. I discuss the broader implications of the findings and place the sociotropic model on a firmer methodological and theoretical foundation.
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