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高等教育擴張與延後生育 = Higher Educational Exp...

國立高雄大學應用經濟學系碩士班

高等教育擴張與延後生育 = Higher Educational Expansion and Delayed Childbearing

紀錄類型:	書目-語言資料,印刷品 : 單行本
並列題名:	Higher Educational Expansion and Delayed Childbearing
作者:	王瑞樺,
其他團體作者:	國立高雄大學
出版地:	[高雄市]
出版者:	撰者;
出版年:	2009[民98]
面頁冊數:	101面圖、表 : 30公分;
標題:	初婚年齡
標題:	Age at First Birth
電子資源:	http://handle.ncl.edu.tw/11296/ndltd/67138569280478165226
附註:	參考書目：面
附註:	指導教授：許聖章
摘要註:	台灣生育率呈現逐年下降的現象，影響生育率下降的原因可分為兩部分，造成生育率下降的原因除了有生育數量降低之外，由於女性的生育能力隨著出年齡的提高而逐漸下降，因此女性延後生育，也是生育率下降的重要原因。台灣近年來的高等教育擴張，大學校數、大學生人數等都有大幅度成長，且隨著經濟進步與男女平等的觀念倍接受，女大學生人數、女學生的高等教育淨在學率等也大幅度提升，女性教育程度因此提高，因時間的機會成本增加與教育年數的延長，使得女性的生命歷程產生了變化，結婚與生育的時點有所不同，因此本文將探討台灣的高等教育擴張，女性教育程度因此提高，對女性結婚與生育時點的影響。我們以Cox’s Proportional Hazard Model分析出生至生第一胎、出生至初婚與初婚至生第一胎的時間，並以Heckman兩階段模型分析初婚年齡與生第一胎年齡。實證結果發現，教育程度愈高的女性，結婚與生育的機會愈低，初婚年齡與生第一胎年齡愈大，且隨著出生世代的推移，相同教育程度的初婚年齡與生第一胎年齡有育來愈大的趨勢。當理想子女數增加時，初婚年齡與生第一胎年齡皆會降低，且對於教育程度愈高的女性，隨著出生世代的推移，初婚年齡與生第一胎年齡的降低幅度愈來愈小，但教育程度為國中及以下的女性，則是隨出生世代的推移而遞增。由預測結果發現，60-69年次與70-79年次全部女性與已婚女性除了教育程度外，在其他情況皆與50-59年次的相同時，初婚年齡會增加0.57歲與0.90歲，其中分別有87.47％與137.26％為大學及以上比例的提升所致；生第一胎年齡則增加0.83歲與1.34歲，也分別有73.27％與110.77％來自大學及以上的比例提高所造成。台灣女性多為先結婚後生子，60-69年次與70-79年次的生第一胎年齡延後，分別有68.67％與67.16％來自初婚年齡增加所致，可看出在台灣延後結婚對延後生育有很大的影響。 The fertility declines as women aged because the numbers of birth decrease as the timing of childbearing delayed. During the past years, the higher education expanded in Taiwan. Meanwhile, women’s years of schooling extended and educational attainments improved. As a result, the timing of childbearing has changed. Based on the Women’s Marriage, Fertility and Employment Survey in Taiwan Area, we study the effect of higher educational expansion on the behavior of childbearing. In Taiwan, the correlation between marriage and childbearing is strong, so we study not only the timing of childbearing but also that of marriage. This thesis is divided into two parts. In the first part, we use Cox’s Proportional Hazard Model to analyze the duration until first childbearing after born, until first marriage after born and until first childbearing after first marriage. In the second part, we use Heckman two steps method to analyze the age at first marriage and the age at first birth. From the empirical results, we found that the probabilities of marriage and childbearing decrease as years of schooling increase; the age at first marriage and the age at first birth also increase as years of schooling rise, and the magnitude of the increase rises with birth cohort given the same educational attainment. From the predication result, we found that for the 1971-1980 and 1981-1990 cohorts age at first marriage increases by 0.57 and 0.90 years compared to the 1961-1970 cohort. The rise of the proportion of higher education accounts for 87.47％ and 137.26％ of the increase in the age at first marriage for the 1971-1980 and 1981-1990 cohort, respectively. Compared to the 1961-1970 cohort, age at first birth increase 0.83 and 1.34 years for the 1971-1980 and 1981-1990 cohorts, respectively. And the rise of the proportion of higher education accounts for 72.36％ and 110.77％ of the increase for the 1971-1980 and 1981-1990 cohort, respectively

高等教育擴張與延後生育 = Higher Educational Expansion and Delayed Childbearing
王, 瑞樺

高等教育擴張與延後生育 = Higher Educational Expansion and Delayed Childbearing / 王瑞樺撰 - [高雄市] : 撰者, 2009[民98]. - 101面 ; 圖、表 ; 30公分.
參考書目：面指導教授：許聖章.
初婚年齡Age at First Birth

高等教育擴張與延後生育 = Higher Educational Expansion and Delayed Childbearing
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