國立高雄大學圖資館 |

語系: 繁體中文

說明(常見問題)

圖資館首頁

登入

回首頁

切換: 標籤 | MARC模式 | ISBD

Bond risk premia in macroeconomic mo...

Columbia University.

Bond risk premia in macroeconomic models.

紀錄類型:	書目-電子資源 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:	Bond risk premia in macroeconomic models.
作者:	Tsonev, Simeon.
面頁冊數:	243 p.
附註:	Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 70-08, Section: A, page: 3129.
附註:	Adviser: Alexei Onatski.
Contained By:	Dissertation Abstracts International70-08A.
標題:	Economics, Theory.
電子資源:	http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=3374086
ISBN:	9781109345131

Bond risk premia in macroeconomic models.
Tsonev, Simeon.

Bond risk premia in macroeconomic models. - 243 p.

Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 70-08, Section: A, page: 3129.

Thesis (Ph.D.)--Columbia University, 2009.

In the first chapter we investigate the observed slope of inflation compensation in nominal government bond yields and demonstrate that it is very difficult to explain by the existence of large inflation risk premia. Using data from the UK and the US we show that a large class of micro-founded models fail to produce such premia in a way that is consistent with data. We propose a DSGE model with regime switching in the central bank's inflation target. Taking advantage of the well documented change in UK monetary policy to adopt inflation targeting, we estimate our model using nominal and inflation-linked Treasury bond data from the UK from 1985 to 2007. We find that this model can account for the term structure of inflation compensation in the nominal yield curve by generating regime dependent conditional expectations of future inflation.

ISBN: 9781109345131Subjects--Topical Terms:

212740
Economics, Theory.

Bond risk premia in macroeconomic models.
LDR:02832nmm 2200313 4500 001 240273
005 20100310090836.5
008 100410s2009 ||||||||||||||||| ||eng d
020 $a 9781109345131
035 $a (UMI)AAI3374086
035 $a AAI3374086
040 $a UMI $c UMI
100 1 $a Tsonev, Simeon. $3 384302
245 1 0 $a Bond risk premia in macroeconomic models.
300 $a 243 p.
500 $a Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 70-08, Section: A, page: 3129.
500 $a Adviser: Alexei Onatski.
502 $a Thesis (Ph.D.)--Columbia University, 2009.
520 $a In the first chapter we investigate the observed slope of inflation compensation in nominal government bond yields and demonstrate that it is very difficult to explain by the existence of large inflation risk premia. Using data from the UK and the US we show that a large class of micro-founded models fail to produce such premia in a way that is consistent with data. We propose a DSGE model with regime switching in the central bank's inflation target. Taking advantage of the well documented change in UK monetary policy to adopt inflation targeting, we estimate our model using nominal and inflation-linked Treasury bond data from the UK from 1985 to 2007. We find that this model can account for the term structure of inflation compensation in the nominal yield curve by generating regime dependent conditional expectations of future inflation.
520 $a In the second chapter we investigate the ability of DSGE models with heteroskedastic shocks to account for the time variation of excess returns on default-free bonds that has been observed in US postwar data. We find that a suitably calibrated simple model can produce sufficiently volatile bond risk premia for certain parameter values. Such calibrations however produce some implausible implications for the behaviour of real interest rates and macroeconomic variables. Moreover, the calibrated parameters cannot be recovered from an estimation of the model using US data.
520 $a The last chapter investigates the predictability of government bond returns by macroeconomic variables. It confirms previous findings that returns are correlated with past macroeconomic data in-sample. It also shows that this correlation declines and loses significance when returns on longer-maturity bonds are considered. Finally, it demonstrates that the factors exctracted from a large panel of macroeconomic variables, unlike interest rate forwards, have no predictive power for returns out of sample.
590 $a School code: 0054.
650 4 $a Economics, Theory. $3 212740
650 4 $a Economics, General. $3 212429
650 4 $a Economics, Finance. $3 212585
690 $a 0501
690 $a 0508
690 $a 0511
710 2 $a Columbia University. $3 212899
773 0 $t Dissertation Abstracts International $g 70-08A.
790 1 0 $a Onatski, Alexei, $e advisor
790 $a 0054
791 $a Ph.D.
792 $a 2009
856 4 0 $u http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=3374086