| 摘要註: |
在「後五都」與現行財政收支劃分法標準下，地方政府均面臨財政艱困，故增加自主財源，加強地方建設，成為重要課題，其中擴大辦理土地開發遂成為地方政府籌措財源重要手段。回顧國內有關市地重劃及區段徵收之相關文獻，向未曾有針對這些土地開發方式在地方都市發展之總體影響提出研究。尤其是針對地方政府在可建築用地供需和土地開發關係的研究。本研究應用的理論分別為地方財政理論、建築開發商理論、基礎產業理論及總體經濟理論。透過前述理論文獻回顧歸納相關變數包括：戶量、及業人口數、社會增加率、推案量、建築貸款餘額、建築基地面積、景氣對策信號、住宅存量、家庭可支配所得、地方稅實徵數額、債務總額、財政自主率、平權基金餘絀數、建築基地面積、可建築用地面積等變數，同時本研究以民國68~100年統計資料進行分析，探討可建築用地供需影響因素。本研究應用相關係數分析方法與多元迴歸分析方法來驗證各變數間之相關性，並建立供給面與需求面模型設定，驗證地方財政、建築開發商、基礎產業及總體經濟理論解釋模型。研究結果發現，地方財政因素及建築開發商推案需求能有效引發土地開發，惟供給量越多，政府應負擔費用越多，反造成財政自主性降低。總體經濟因素對用地需求呈現顯著關係，68年後中央對於高雄市未有重大建設導致基礎產業理論對於可建築用地需求並不顯著。對於現行土地開發建議由積極開發轉為進行成長管理，空地及養地管理，避免過度開發造成財政負擔，並檢討稅制有效徵收相關稅賦，改善政府財政收益。 Coherent with the current Financial Division law standards under Post-Five Metropolitans era in Taiwan, local governments are facing financial exhaustion, as a consequence for increasing the autonomy of financial resources, in strengthening of local infrastructure become an important issue, which play as an important roles for local governments to raise funds for steering land development. Take a literature review of the relevant study in the domestic thesis in Taiwan. Take land readjustment and zone Condemnation as an example, there are rare research focus on the overall impact of the local urban development in the land development accumulation effect. Especially, on the association between supply and demand of buildable site and land development in local government.This research applied the relative theories included, local financial, the city builders, the basic industries, and the macro-economic theories. Through theoretical literature review stated above, it was summarized the variables manipulated, such as: households, employments, social increase rate, launch cases by developer, builder financing, total buildable site, economic monitoring indicator, housing stocks, household disposable income, local taxes empirical , total amount of debt, financial autonomy rate, the number of affirmative fund surplus and deficit, buildable site area available per year. All these variables in this study the time series is form 1979 to 2011, as a raw data, to explore the buildable land supply and demand influencing factors via statistical analysis.By means of the approaches, the correlation analysis and multiple regression analysis as well, which was applied to verify the correlation between variables, and to specified the supply and the demand side of the model set and validation of local finance, developers, basic industries, and macro-economic interpretation model. The research found that local financial factors and developers is the driving force for launching the built case demand can effectively dominated the land development. But, if the buildable land been over supply, the Government should be bearded the more costs, anti-resulting in reducing the fiscal autonomy. There are significant in macro-economic factors on the demand for land. Since is not any infrastructure invest by central government after 1979, which led to the theory of basic industry demand for buildable land with insignificant interpretation. Growth management, open space and raise land management by the positive development into concurent land development proposals, to avoid over-exploitation of a financial burden, review of the taxation system to effectively collect related taxes, to improve the government's fiscal income as well. |