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轉型經濟體加入共同市場之研究─以匈牙利為例 = The Impact o...

劉怡君

轉型經濟體加入共同市場之研究─以匈牙利為例 = The Impact of the Transition Economy Joining the Common Market: Evidence from Hungary

紀錄類型:	書目-語言資料,印刷品 : 單行本
並列題名:	The Impact of the Transition Economy Joining the Common Market: Evidence from Hungary
作者:	劉怡君,
其他團體作者:	國立高雄大學
出版地:	[高雄市]
出版者:	撰者;
出版年:	2013[民102]
面頁冊數:	45面圖，表 : 30公分;
標題:	共同市場
標題:	Common market
電子資源:	http://handle.ncl.edu.tw/11296/ndltd/06327707618450117028
附註:	105年10月25日公開
附註:	參考書目：面34-38
摘要註:	近年來各國積極提倡並簽署雙邊或多邊貿易協定，區域經濟整合也因此月發快速。根據WTO網站統計資料顯示，目前全球執行中的貿易協定約有250個，而WTO成員國亦至少與一個或多個國家協定自由貿易。許多實證研究證實，自由貿易協定或關稅同盟能有效地為成員國創造更高的社會福利。然而，共同市場是否為成員國帶來正向影響則有待商榷，因為共同市場要素的自由移動會部份取代商品交易行為，因而降低貿易創造效果。隨著貿易全球化轉型經濟體因自由化、私有化及穩定化增強其市場機制並創造高經濟成長而被譽為全球經濟發展的一大助力。轉型經濟體亦因私有化過程釋出大量勞動力，因此參與高整合程度的共同市場時，其要素可能受到其他已開發國家吸引而外移，進而降低其社會福利效果。為評估轉型經濟體加入共同市場的經濟效果，本文以匈牙利加入歐盟為例，並使用Hsiao et al. (2012)所發展出的panel data法，藉由其他不相關的國家之可觀察結果建構匈牙利未加如歐盟的經濟成長率，藉此與其經濟成長實際值相比已評估匈牙利(轉型經濟體)加入歐盟(共同市場)之政策效果。實驗結果指出，如果匈牙利未於2004年加入歐洲共同市場，其經濟發展將會高於現狀。其他的發現包括：(1)匈牙利可以參與關稅同盟的形式加入歐盟而獲益；(2)歐盟加深2008年金融海嘯對匈牙利的衝擊。 Regional economic integration has been rapidly promoted recently. According the WTO Website, there are around 250 trade agreements currently in force. Many studies found that a FTA can effectively benefit members, while it may not be true for a common market that the factor trade might partly replace the goods trade and thus reduce the effect of trade creation. According to our survey, there are no empirical studies to investigate the welfare effects of member states in a common market. Moreover, transition economies have became an increasingly important element in global economic growth and international trade due to its rapid-economic growth triggered by market liberalization, privatization and stabilization policies. This reform has opened up the market and production opportunities for the rest of the world; hence, it has become the enabler of world's economic growth. In order to evaluate the policy intervention effect of transition economy accesses to the common market. This study evaluates the participation of Hungary to the EU employing the panel data method proposed by Hsiao et al. (2012) to construct the counterfactuals by the observable outcomes of other unrelated countries. Empirical results indicate that Hungary would have higher economic development if she were not in the European common market. Other findings include: (1) Hungary does benefit from the participation of the EU in the form of a custom union; (2) The 2008 financial tsunami amplified the volatility of Hungarian economy of joining the EU.

轉型經濟體加入共同市場之研究─以匈牙利為例 = The Impact of the Transition Economy Joining the Common Market: Evidence from Hungary
劉, 怡君

轉型經濟體加入共同市場之研究─以匈牙利為例 = The Impact of the Transition Economy Joining the Common Market: Evidence from Hungary / 劉怡君撰 - [高雄市] : 撰者, 2013[民102]. - 45面 ; 圖，表 ; 30公分.
105年10月25日公開參考書目：面34-38.
共同市場Common market

轉型經濟體加入共同市場之研究─以匈牙利為例 = The Impact of the Transition Economy Joining the Common Market: Evidence from Hungary
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