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Willful ignorancethe mismeasure of u...

Weisberg, Herbert I., (1944-)

Willful ignorancethe mismeasure of uncertainty /

紀錄類型:	書目-電子資源 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:	Willful ignoranceHerbert I. Weisberg.
其他題名:	the mismeasure of uncertainty /
作者:	Weisberg, Herbert I.,
出版者:	Hoboken, New Jersey :Wiley,2014.
面頁冊數:	1 online resource.
標題:	ResearchStatistical methods.
電子資源:	http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/book/10.1002/9781118839539
ISBN:	9781118593790 (epub)

Willful ignorancethe mismeasure of uncertainty /
Weisberg, Herbert I.,1944-

Willful ignorancethe mismeasure of uncertainty /[electronic resource] :Herbert I. Weisberg. - Hoboken, New Jersey :Wiley,2014. - 1 online resource.

Includes bibliographical references and index.

"An original account of willful ignorance and how this principle relates to modern probability and statistical methods Through a series of colorful stories about great thinkers and the problems they chose to solve, the author traces the historical evolution of probability and explains how statistical methods have helped to propel scientific research. However, the past success of statistics has depended on vast, deliberate simplifications amounting to willful ignorance, and this very success now threatens future advances in medicine, the social sciences, and other fields. Limitations of existing methods result in frequent reversals of scientific findings and recommendations, to the consternation of both scientists and the lay public.Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty exposes the fallacy of regarding probability as the full measure of our uncertainty. The book explains how statistical methodology, though enormously productive and influential over the past century, is approaching a crisis. The deep and troubling divide between qualitative and quantitative modes of research, and between research and practice, are reflections of this underlying problem. The author outlines a path toward the re-engineering of data analysis to help close these gaps and accelerate scientific discovery. Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty presents essential information and novel ideas that should be of interest to anyone concerned about the future of scientific research. The book is especially pertinent for professionals in statistics and related fields, including practicing and research clinicians, biomedical and social science researchers, business leaders, and policy-makers"--

ISBN: 9781118593790 (epub)

LCCN: 2014018077Subjects--Topical Terms:

185277
Research
--Statistical methods.

LC Class. No.: Q180.55.S7

Dewey Class. No.: 001.4/22

Willful ignorancethe mismeasure of uncertainty /
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245 1 0 $a Willful ignorance $h [electronic resource] : $b the mismeasure of uncertainty / $c Herbert I. Weisberg.
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300 $a 1 online resource.
504 $a Includes bibliographical references and index.
520 $a "An original account of willful ignorance and how this principle relates to modern probability and statistical methods Through a series of colorful stories about great thinkers and the problems they chose to solve, the author traces the historical evolution of probability and explains how statistical methods have helped to propel scientific research. However, the past success of statistics has depended on vast, deliberate simplifications amounting to willful ignorance, and this very success now threatens future advances in medicine, the social sciences, and other fields. Limitations of existing methods result in frequent reversals of scientific findings and recommendations, to the consternation of both scientists and the lay public.Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty exposes the fallacy of regarding probability as the full measure of our uncertainty. The book explains how statistical methodology, though enormously productive and influential over the past century, is approaching a crisis. The deep and troubling divide between qualitative and quantitative modes of research, and between research and practice, are reflections of this underlying problem. The author outlines a path toward the re-engineering of data analysis to help close these gaps and accelerate scientific discovery. Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty presents essential information and novel ideas that should be of interest to anyone concerned about the future of scientific research. The book is especially pertinent for professionals in statistics and related fields, including practicing and research clinicians, biomedical and social science researchers, business leaders, and policy-makers"-- $c Provided by publisher.
588 $a Description based on print version record and CIP data provided by publisher.
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