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Foresight for science, technology an...

Miles, Ian.

Foresight for science, technology and innovation

紀錄類型:	書目-電子資源 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:	Foresight for science, technology and innovationby Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Sokolov.
作者:	Miles, Ian.
其他作者:	Saritas, Ozcan.
出版者:	Cham :Springer International Publishing :2016.
面頁冊數:	xiii, 270 p. :ill., digital ;24 cm.
Contained By:	Springer eBooks
標題:	Technological forecasting.
電子資源:	http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-32574-3
ISBN:	9783319325743$q(electronic bk.)

Foresight for science, technology and innovation
Miles, Ian.

Foresight for science, technology and innovation[electronic resource] /by Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Sokolov. - Cham :Springer International Publishing :2016. - xiii, 270 p. :ill., digital ;24 cm. - Science, technology and innovation studies. - Science, technology and innovation studies..

1 Introduction -- 2 Foresight for STI - What and Why -- 3 Initiation-Scoping and Managing ForSTI -- 4 Interaction - Participation and Recruitment -- 5 Intelligence - Environmental and Horizon Scanning -- 6 Intelligence - Delphi -- 7 Imagination - Scenarios and Alternative Futures -- 8 Integration - Modelling -- 9 From Integration to Interpretation - Translating ForSTI into Strategies -- 10 Intervention and Impact - Outcomes, Action and Evaluation -- 11 Conclusion.

Decision-makers at all levels are being confronted with novel complexities and uncertainties and face long-term challenges which require foresight about long-term future prospects, assumptions, and strategies. This book explores how foresight studies can be systematically undertaken and used in this context. It explicates why and how methods like horizon scanning, scenario planning, and roadmapping should be applied when dealing with high levels of uncertainty. The scope of the book moves beyond "narrow" technology foresight, towards addressing systemic interrelations between social, technological, economic, environmental, and political systems. Applications of foresight tools to such fields as energy, cities, health, transportation, education, and sustainability are considered as well as enabling technologies including nano-, bio-, and information technologies and cognitive sciences. The approaches will be illustrated with specific actual cases.

ISBN: 9783319325743$q(electronic bk.)

Standard No.: 10.1007/978-3-319-32574-3doiSubjects--Topical Terms:

397293
Technological forecasting.

LC Class. No.: T174 / .M55 2016

Dewey Class. No.: 601.12

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505 0 $a 1 Introduction -- 2 Foresight for STI - What and Why -- 3 Initiation-Scoping and Managing ForSTI -- 4 Interaction - Participation and Recruitment -- 5 Intelligence - Environmental and Horizon Scanning -- 6 Intelligence - Delphi -- 7 Imagination - Scenarios and Alternative Futures -- 8 Integration - Modelling -- 9 From Integration to Interpretation - Translating ForSTI into Strategies -- 10 Intervention and Impact - Outcomes, Action and Evaluation -- 11 Conclusion.
520 $a Decision-makers at all levels are being confronted with novel complexities and uncertainties and face long-term challenges which require foresight about long-term future prospects, assumptions, and strategies. This book explores how foresight studies can be systematically undertaken and used in this context. It explicates why and how methods like horizon scanning, scenario planning, and roadmapping should be applied when dealing with high levels of uncertainty. The scope of the book moves beyond "narrow" technology foresight, towards addressing systemic interrelations between social, technological, economic, environmental, and political systems. Applications of foresight tools to such fields as energy, cities, health, transportation, education, and sustainability are considered as well as enabling technologies including nano-, bio-, and information technologies and cognitive sciences. The approaches will be illustrated with specific actual cases.
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