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Forecastingan essential introduction /

Castle, Jennifer, (1979-)

Forecastingan essential introduction /

紀錄類型:	書目-電子資源 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:	ForecastingJennifer L. Castle, Michael P. Clements, David F. Hendry.
其他題名:	an essential introduction /
作者:	Castle, Jennifer,
其他作者:	Clements, Michael P.
出版者:	New Haven ;Yale University Press,c2019.
面頁冊數:	1 online resource (xiv, 213 p.) :ill.
標題:	Economic forecasting.
電子資源:	https://www.degruyter.com/isbn/9780300248241
ISBN:	9780300248241$q(electronic bk.)

Forecastingan essential introduction /
Castle, Jennifer,1979-

Forecastingan essential introduction /[electronic resource] :Jennifer L. Castle, Michael P. Clements, David F. Hendry. - 1st ed. - New Haven ;Yale University Press,c2019. - 1 online resource (xiv, 213 p.) :ill.

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Why do we need forecasts? -- How do we make forecasts? -- Where are we before we forecast? -- How do we judge forecasts? -- How uncertain are our forecasts? -- Are some real world events unpredictable? -- Why do systematic forecast failures occur? -- Can we avoid systematic forecast failures? -- How do we automatically detect breaks? -- Can we forecast breaks before they hit? -- Can we improve forecasts during breaks? -- Would more information be useful? -- Can econometrics improve forecasting? -- Can you trust economic forecasts?

Making accurate predictions about the economy has always been difficult, but today forecasters have to contend with increasing complexity and unpredictable feedback loops. This introduction provides an accessible overview of the processes and difficulties of forecasting. For students, for practitioners new to the field, and for general readers interested in how economists forecast.

ISBN: 9780300248241$q(electronic bk.)

LCCN: 2019934600Subjects--Topical Terms:

182801
Economic forecasting.

LC Class. No.: HB3730 / .C368 2019

Dewey Class. No.: 330.01/12

Forecastingan essential introduction /
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245 1 0 $a Forecasting $h [electronic resource] : $b an essential introduction / $c Jennifer L. Castle, Michael P. Clements, David F. Hendry.
250 $a 1st ed.
260 $a New Haven ; $a London : $b Yale University Press, $c c2019.
300 $a 1 online resource (xiv, 213 p.) : $b ill.
504 $a Includes bibliographical references and index.
505 0 $a Why do we need forecasts? -- How do we make forecasts? -- Where are we before we forecast? -- How do we judge forecasts? -- How uncertain are our forecasts? -- Are some real world events unpredictable? -- Why do systematic forecast failures occur? -- Can we avoid systematic forecast failures? -- How do we automatically detect breaks? -- Can we forecast breaks before they hit? -- Can we improve forecasts during breaks? -- Would more information be useful? -- Can econometrics improve forecasting? -- Can you trust economic forecasts?
520 $a Making accurate predictions about the economy has always been difficult, but today forecasters have to contend with increasing complexity and unpredictable feedback loops. This introduction provides an accessible overview of the processes and difficulties of forecasting. For students, for practitioners new to the field, and for general readers interested in how economists forecast.
588 $a Description based on print version record.
650 0 $a Economic forecasting. $3 182801
700 1 $a Clements, Michael P. $3 243114
700 1 $a Hendry, David F. $3 187446
856 4 0 $u https://www.degruyter.com/isbn/9780300248241