語系:
繁體中文
English
說明(常見問題)
圖資館首頁
登入
回首頁
到查詢結果
[ subject:"Heuristic." ]
切換:
標籤
|
MARC模式
|
ISBD
Bounded rationality in decision maki...
~
Kreinovich, Vladik.
Bounded rationality in decision making under uncertaintytowards optimal granularity /
紀錄類型:
書目-電子資源 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:
Bounded rationality in decision making under uncertaintyby Joe Lorkowski, Vladik Kreinovich.
其他題名:
towards optimal granularity /
作者:
Lorkowski, Joe.
其他作者:
Kreinovich, Vladik.
出版者:
Cham :Springer International Publishing :2018.
面頁冊數:
ix, 164 p. :ill., digital ;24 cm.
Contained By:
Springer eBooks
標題:
Decision making.
電子資源:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-62214-9
ISBN:
9783319622149$q(electronic bk.)
Bounded rationality in decision making under uncertaintytowards optimal granularity /
Lorkowski, Joe.
Bounded rationality in decision making under uncertainty
towards optimal granularity /[electronic resource] :by Joe Lorkowski, Vladik Kreinovich. - Cham :Springer International Publishing :2018. - ix, 164 p. :ill., digital ;24 cm. - Studies in systems, decision and control,v.992198-4182 ;. - Studies in systems, decision and control ;v.3..
Human Decisions Are Often Suboptimal: Phenomenon of Bounded Rationality -- Towards Explaining Other Aspects of Human Decision Making -- Towards Explaining Heuristic Techniques (Such as Fuzzy) in Expert Decision Making -- Decision Making Under Uncertainty and Restrictions on Computation Resources: From Heuristic to Optimal Techniques -- Conclusions and Future Work.
This book addresses an intriguing question: are our decisions rational? It explains seemingly irrational human decision-making behavior by taking into account our limited ability to process information. It also shows with several examples that optimization under granularity restriction leads to observed human decision-making. Drawing on the Nobel-prize-winning studies by Kahneman and Tversky, researchers have found many examples of seemingly irrational decisions: e.g., we overestimate the probability of rare events. Our explanation is that since human abilities to process information are limited, we operate not with the exact values of relevant quantities, but with "granules" that contain these values. We show that optimization under such granularity indeed leads to observed human behavior. In particular, for the first time, we explain the mysterious empirical dependence of betting odds on actual probabilities. This book can be recommended to all students interested in human decision-making, to researchers whose work involves human decisions, and to practitioners who design and employ systems involving human decision-making -- so that they can better utilize our ability to make decisions under uncertainty.
ISBN: 9783319622149$q(electronic bk.)
Standard No.: 10.1007/978-3-319-62214-9doiSubjects--Topical Terms:
183849
Decision making.
LC Class. No.: BF448
Dewey Class. No.: 153.83
Bounded rationality in decision making under uncertaintytowards optimal granularity /
LDR
:02634nmm a2200325 a 4500
001
526896
003
DE-He213
005
20170703062446.0
006
m d
007
cr nn 008maaau
008
181015s2018 gw s 0 eng d
020
$a
9783319622149$q(electronic bk.)
020
$a
9783319622132$q(paper)
024
7
$a
10.1007/978-3-319-62214-9
$2
doi
035
$a
978-3-319-62214-9
040
$a
GP
$c
GP
041
0
$a
eng
050
4
$a
BF448
072
7
$a
UYQ
$2
bicssc
072
7
$a
COM004000
$2
bisacsh
082
0 4
$a
153.83
$2
23
090
$a
BF448
$b
.L874 2018
100
1
$a
Lorkowski, Joe.
$3
799512
245
1 0
$a
Bounded rationality in decision making under uncertainty
$h
[electronic resource] :
$b
towards optimal granularity /
$c
by Joe Lorkowski, Vladik Kreinovich.
260
$a
Cham :
$b
Springer International Publishing :
$b
Imprint: Springer,
$c
2018.
300
$a
ix, 164 p. :
$b
ill., digital ;
$c
24 cm.
490
1
$a
Studies in systems, decision and control,
$x
2198-4182 ;
$v
v.99
505
0
$a
Human Decisions Are Often Suboptimal: Phenomenon of Bounded Rationality -- Towards Explaining Other Aspects of Human Decision Making -- Towards Explaining Heuristic Techniques (Such as Fuzzy) in Expert Decision Making -- Decision Making Under Uncertainty and Restrictions on Computation Resources: From Heuristic to Optimal Techniques -- Conclusions and Future Work.
520
$a
This book addresses an intriguing question: are our decisions rational? It explains seemingly irrational human decision-making behavior by taking into account our limited ability to process information. It also shows with several examples that optimization under granularity restriction leads to observed human decision-making. Drawing on the Nobel-prize-winning studies by Kahneman and Tversky, researchers have found many examples of seemingly irrational decisions: e.g., we overestimate the probability of rare events. Our explanation is that since human abilities to process information are limited, we operate not with the exact values of relevant quantities, but with "granules" that contain these values. We show that optimization under such granularity indeed leads to observed human behavior. In particular, for the first time, we explain the mysterious empirical dependence of betting odds on actual probabilities. This book can be recommended to all students interested in human decision-making, to researchers whose work involves human decisions, and to practitioners who design and employ systems involving human decision-making -- so that they can better utilize our ability to make decisions under uncertainty.
650
0
$a
Decision making.
$3
183849
650
0
$a
Uncertainty.
$3
183510
650
0
$a
Irrationalism (Philosophy)
$3
393601
650
0
$a
Heuristic.
$3
221022
650
1 4
$a
Engineering.
$3
210888
650
2 4
$a
Computational Intelligence.
$3
338479
650
2 4
$a
Cognitive Psychology.
$3
273717
650
2 4
$a
Artificial Intelligence (incl. Robotics)
$3
252959
700
1
$a
Kreinovich, Vladik.
$3
610822
710
2
$a
SpringerLink (Online service)
$3
273601
773
0
$t
Springer eBooks
830
0
$a
Studies in systems, decision and control ;
$v
v.3.
$3
678532
856
4 0
$u
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-62214-9
950
$a
Engineering (Springer-11647)
筆 0 讀者評論
全部
電子館藏
館藏
1 筆 • 頁數 1 •
1
條碼號
館藏地
館藏流通類別
資料類型
索書號
使用類型
借閱狀態
預約狀態
備註欄
附件
000000149462
電子館藏
1圖書
電子書
EB BF448
一般使用(Normal)
在架
0
1 筆 • 頁數 1 •
1
多媒體
多媒體檔案
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-62214-9
評論
新增評論
分享你的心得
Export
取書館別
處理中
...
變更密碼
登入