海峽兩岸經濟合作架構協議之評估及對台灣之影響 = An Evaluati...
國立高雄大學高階經營管理碩士在職專班(EMBA)

 

  • 海峽兩岸經濟合作架構協議之評估及對台灣之影響 = An Evaluation of the ECFA and Its Impact on theTaiwan Economy
  • 紀錄類型: 書目-語言資料,印刷品 : 單行本
    並列題名: An Evaluation of the ECFA and Its Impact on theTaiwan Economy
    作者: 陳合發,
    其他團體作者: 國立高雄大學
    出版地: [高雄市]
    出版者: 撰者;
    出版年: 2012[民101]
    面頁冊數: 101面表格 : 30公分;
    標題: 經濟合作架構協議
    標題: ECFA
    電子資源: http://handle.ncl.edu.tw/11296/ndltd/70018873039257513627
    附註: 參考書目:面78-82
    摘要註: 自2000年政黨輪替開始,台灣整體經濟不再快速成長而開始停滯,2000年到2010年總體經濟實力、國民生活水準及全面生產力,直直下降到只剩一半,讓馬英九想到要以與中國大陸簽署海峽兩岸經濟合作架構協議 (ECFA),拉擡台灣整體經濟。將滿2年的時間,兩岸之間經貿是否有因簽ECFA有所影響變化,其影響變化有好有壞,本論文謹以簽ECFA前後呈現之現象及數據,用歷史回顧、SWOT分析加以比較和分析,研究結論為: (1)經中經院完成的研究報告指出,其對台灣總體經濟將增加二千多億的正面貢獻。(2)最大獲利者是資金雄厚、規模較大、有能力因應新的政策情勢變化、迅速調整和具國際競爭力的廠商。(3)兩年了與美、日、新加坡、歐盟及東協的FTA仍然沒簽。(4)台灣與中國定位不明。(5)台商在中國投資保障協議還沒簽,台商在中國投資糾紛不斷。(6)失業率居高不下,仍然無法下降。(7)貿易過度集中中國,嚴重傾中,台商西進往大陸投資爆增。(8)FDI反而減少,世界各國直接前往中國投資增多,反而減少對台灣的投資。(9)最大的受害者是廣大勞工,特別是中高齡的勞工,中小企業、傳统產業、勞力密集產業、中低收入家庭和農業(尤其是農民)。(10)貧富差距不斷的擴大,國內失業率會不斷上升,失業人數也會持續增加,實質薪資成長率減緩甚至下跌。 The changing the political power since 2000, macroeconomic growth in Taiwan has been substantially reduced. During the period 2000-2010, GDP, per capital GDP, and overall productivity growth rates were all reduced to half of the corresponding levels achieved during the previous period 1960-2000. In order to revitalize the Taiwan economy, the newly elected President Ma Ing-Jeou signed the Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA) with China on June 29, 2010. It has been almost two years after the signing of the ECFA.It is time to have a preliminary assessment of the ECFA by using SWOT analysis and actual statistics. The major findings are summarized as follows:1. Based on the policy simulation undertaken by the Chung Hua Institute of Economic Research, the real value of GDP increases more than NT$200 billion.2. The ECFA will benefit most to Taiwan large corporations due to scale of economies and financial resources.3. It is generally believed that after signing the ECFA it will be easily for Taiwan to sign the FTA with other countries. However, it has been not materialized between Taiwan and the USA, Singapore, European Union, Japan, and ASEAN.4. The political status between Taiwan and China is still not clear.5. The Investment protection agreement is still not signed between Taiwan and China, so private business investment from Taiwan to China is not under protection.6. Taiwan unemployment rate is still quite high. Job creation after ECFA is insignificant.7. Trade dependence on China is increasing, and business investment from Taiwan to China is also increased significantly.8. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inTaiwan is reduced significantly, FDI is moving to China instead of Taiwan. 9. Traditional manufacturing industries, agriculture, and small-medium enterprise are suffered under the ECFA.10. Income inequality becomes worse due to high unemployment rate and stagnant wages and salaries.
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