土地開發區衍生就業機會評估方法之研究-以高雄市鳳山五甲路東側農業區區段徵...
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  • 土地開發區衍生就業機會評估方法之研究-以高雄市鳳山五甲路東側農業區區段徵收範圍為例 = Appraisal on jobs opportunity derived from land development area - A case study on Zone Condemnation area, eastern Agriculture zone of Wuchia Road, Fongshan district, Kaohsiung City
  • 紀錄類型: 書目-語言資料,印刷品 : 單行本
    並列題名: Appraisal on jobs opportunity derived from land development area - A case study on Zone Condemnation area, eastern Agriculture zone of Wuchia Road, Fongshan district, Kaohsiung City
    作者: 黃春霖,
    其他團體作者: 國立高雄大學
    出版地: [高雄市]
    出版者: 撰者;
    出版年: 2013[民102]
    面頁冊數: 105面圖,表 : 30公分;
    標題: 就業機會
    標題: Employment Opportunities
    電子資源: http://handle.ncl.edu.tw/11296/ndltd/26889998615056647991
    附註: 104年10月31日公開
    附註: 含參考書目
    摘要註: 本研究目的在於探討新土地開發區衍生就業機會預測方法之合理性,校估地區就業機會參數,提供政府擬定土地開發公共投資政策預測就業機會之參考依據與改善建議。經由應用基礎產業理論、區位理論、空間互動與可及性相關研究、土地開發區發展概論等,說明新土地開發區之發展模式與後續模式變數依據;以高雄市鳳山區五甲路東側農業區區段徵收範圍為例,應用Garin-Lowry模式配合情境模擬進行分析,並將實證研究成果與官方應用預測方法作比較探討。研究結果指出,合理分派就業機會約每年200人至400人。建議土地開發區之就業機會推測必須由供給、需求兩種面向進行分析,並應納入價值鏈之概念,將總量逐步分派至土地開發區每一個發展階段。本研究透過Garin-Lowry 模式配合情境模擬分析發現,雖然模式能符合實際發展情況,但目前僅能得到分派總量,無法預測新土地開發區臨時性就業機會的動態發展,建議應針對此模式檢討加強。   The aim of this study applied Economic Base Theory, Location Theory, Spatial Interaction model and related research to explore the reasonability of the project approach. For calibrating coefficient of local employment opportunity parameter, to provide land development and public investment policies for reference in forecasting employment opportunities and recommendations for improvement. Via the application of basic industries theory, location theory, spatial interaction and accessibility related research, and land development concepts, indicating the new development area, based on development patterns and subsequent model variables. With the application of Garin-Lowry model scenario simulation analysis and empirical research results compared with the official application of prediction methods discussed, take eastern Wujia Road Agricultural land, the bzone expropriation range, Fengshan District in Kaohsiung as an example. The results demonstrate that a reasonable distribution of employment to around 200 to 400 people per year. It was proposed that land development area of employment opportunities forecasting must be analyzed from supply and demand sides. And it should be included in the concept of the value chain, to distributed the aggregate to each stage of land development. This study by means of Garin-Lowry model with scenario simulation analysis found that, although the model can meet the actual development of the situation, but currently only get the amount of distributions and unpredictable temporary employment opportunities for new land development dynamic development scenario, the recommendations should be reviewed for this model strengthened.
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