國立高雄大學圖資館 |

登入

回首頁

Forecasting, warning, and responding to transnational risks

紀錄類型:	書目-電子資源 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:	Forecasting, warning, and responding to transnational risksedited by Chiara de Franco, Christoph O. Meyer.
其他作者:	De Franco, Chiara,
出版者:	Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire ;Palgrave Macmillan,c2011.
面頁冊數:	1 online resource (xiv, 285 p.) :ill.
標題:	RiskForecasting.
電子資源:	An electronic book accessible through the World Wide Web; click for information
ISBN:	9780230316911 (electronic bk.)

Forecasting, warning, and responding to transnational risks
Forecasting, warning, and responding to transnational risks[electronic resource] /edited by Chiara de Franco, Christoph O. Meyer. - Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire ;Palgrave Macmillan,c2011. - 1 online resource (xiv, 285 p.) :ill.

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Introduction: The Challenges of Prevention; C. De Franco & C.O. Meyer -- PART I: FORECASTING HARM -- The Coastline of The Future: Some Limits on Forecasting and Prediction; D. Omand -- Epistemology of Forecasting in International Relations: Knowing the Difference between 'Intelligence Failure' and 'Warning Failure'; J. Goldman -- Foresec: Lessons Learnt from a Pan-European Security Foresight Project; V. Brummer, C. Burnley, H. Carlsen, A. Duta, B. Giegerich & R. Magoni -- Modelling Transnational Environmental Risks: Scenarios for Decision Support; F. Wagner -- Risk, Uncertainty and the Assessment of Organised Crime; T. Van Der Beken -- PART II: COMMUNICATING AND LEARNING FROM WARNINGS -- Mediatised Warnings: Late, Wrong, Yet Indispensable? Lessons from Climate Change and Civil War; C. De Franco & C.O. Meyer -- Do They Listen? Communicating Warnings: An Intelligence Practitioners Perspective; W. Shapcott -- Responding to early flood warnings in the European Union; D. Demeritt & S. Nobert -- Dark Secrets: Face-Work, Organizational Culture and Disaster Prevention; M.S. Gerstein & E.H. Schein -- PART III: RESPONDING TO WARNINGS -- Transnational Risk Management: A Business Perspective; C. Crossin & J. Smither -- From the 'Neurotic' to the 'Rationalising' State: Risk and the Limits of Governance; H. Rothstein, O. Borraz & M. Huber -- Ilos and Silences: The Role of Fragmentation in the Recent Financial Crisis; G. Tett -- Forecasting, Warning and Preventive Policy: The Case of Finance; T.F. Huertas -- Prospective Sense-Making: A Realistic Approach to 'Foresight for Prevention' in an Age of Complex Threats; W.H. Fishbein -- Conclusion: New Perspectives for Theorising and Addressing Transnational Risks; C.O. Meyer & C. De Franco.

What does it take to recognise and prevent hazards with international causes and consequences? How can we handle the risks related to financial instability, terrorism, pandemics, air pollution, flooding and climate change? The book brings together scholars and senior practitioners from different areas to conceptualise and empirically study the interlinked problems of forecasting, warning and mobilising preventive action. Contributors comment on key problems such as uncertainty, silo-mentality, spotting weak-signals, cultures of blame, conflicts of interest and divergent risk perceptions, but are also sensitive to differences between actors and types of risk. The overall thrust is to challenge both technocratic and popularised accounts of the warning-response problem. Successful prevention or mitigation involves difficult cognitive, normative and political judgements. Whilst these difficulties cannot be eliminated, contributors suggest ways in which organisations, journalists, scientists and decision-makers can at least mitigate them.

ISBN: 9780230316911 (electronic bk.)

Standard No.: 9786613266637

Source: 501160Palgrave Macmillanhttp://www.palgraveconnect.comSubjects--Topical Terms:

642186
Risk
--Forecasting.Index Terms--Genre/Form:

214472
Electronic books.

LC Class. No.: HM1101 / .F67 2011

Dewey Class. No.: 363.34/2

Forecasting, warning, and responding to transnational risks
LDR:05003cmm 2200517Ka 4500 001 402854
003 OCoLC
005 20130621115052.0
006 m o d
007 cr cn|||||||||
008 140117s2011 enka ob 001 0 eng d
019 $a 751696013 $a 753970366 $a 754330534 $a 756582714
020 $a 9780230316911 (electronic bk.)
020 $a 0230316913 (electronic bk.)
020 $a 9780230308831 (electronic)
020 $a 023030883X (electronic)
020 $a 9786613266637
020 $a 6613266639
020 $z 9780230297845
020 $z 0230297846
024 8 $a 9786613266637
029 1 $a AU@ $b 000047945903
035 $a (OCoLC)748542000 $z (OCoLC)751696013 $z (OCoLC)753970366 $z (OCoLC)754330534 $z (OCoLC)756582714
035 $a ocn748542000
037 $a 501160 $b Palgrave Macmillan $n http://www.palgraveconnect.com
040 $a UKPGM $b eng $c UKPGM $d N $d MHW $d EBLCP $d YDXCP $d IDEBK $d TXA $d CDX $d OCLCQ $d E7B $d REDDC $d OCLCQ
049 $a TEFA
050 4 $a HM1101 $b .F67 2011
072 7 $a NAT $x 023000 $2 bisacsh
072 7 $a SOC $x 040000 $2 bisacsh
072 7 $a JPS $2 bicssc
082 0 4 $a 363.34/2 $2 22
245 0 0 $a Forecasting, warning, and responding to transnational risks $h [electronic resource] / $c edited by Chiara de Franco, Christoph O. Meyer.
260 $a Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire ; $a New York : $b Palgrave Macmillan, $c c2011.
300 $a 1 online resource (xiv, 285 p.) : $b ill.
504 $a Includes bibliographical references and index.
505 0 $a Introduction: The Challenges of Prevention; C. De Franco & C.O. Meyer -- PART I: FORECASTING HARM -- The Coastline of The Future: Some Limits on Forecasting and Prediction; D. Omand -- Epistemology of Forecasting in International Relations: Knowing the Difference between 'Intelligence Failure' and 'Warning Failure'; J. Goldman -- Foresec: Lessons Learnt from a Pan-European Security Foresight Project; V. Brummer, C. Burnley, H. Carlsen, A. Duta, B. Giegerich & R. Magoni -- Modelling Transnational Environmental Risks: Scenarios for Decision Support; F. Wagner -- Risk, Uncertainty and the Assessment of Organised Crime; T. Van Der Beken -- PART II: COMMUNICATING AND LEARNING FROM WARNINGS -- Mediatised Warnings: Late, Wrong, Yet Indispensable? Lessons from Climate Change and Civil War; C. De Franco & C.O. Meyer -- Do They Listen? Communicating Warnings: An Intelligence Practitioners Perspective; W. Shapcott -- Responding to early flood warnings in the European Union; D. Demeritt & S. Nobert -- Dark Secrets: Face-Work, Organizational Culture and Disaster Prevention; M.S. Gerstein & E.H. Schein -- PART III: RESPONDING TO WARNINGS -- Transnational Risk Management: A Business Perspective; C. Crossin & J. Smither -- From the 'Neurotic' to the 'Rationalising' State: Risk and the Limits of Governance; H. Rothstein, O. Borraz & M. Huber -- Ilos and Silences: The Role of Fragmentation in the Recent Financial Crisis; G. Tett -- Forecasting, Warning and Preventive Policy: The Case of Finance; T.F. Huertas -- Prospective Sense-Making: A Realistic Approach to 'Foresight for Prevention' in an Age of Complex Threats; W.H. Fishbein -- Conclusion: New Perspectives for Theorising and Addressing Transnational Risks; C.O. Meyer & C. De Franco.
520 $a What does it take to recognise and prevent hazards with international causes and consequences? How can we handle the risks related to financial instability, terrorism, pandemics, air pollution, flooding and climate change? The book brings together scholars and senior practitioners from different areas to conceptualise and empirically study the interlinked problems of forecasting, warning and mobilising preventive action. Contributors comment on key problems such as uncertainty, silo-mentality, spotting weak-signals, cultures of blame, conflicts of interest and divergent risk perceptions, but are also sensitive to differences between actors and types of risk. The overall thrust is to challenge both technocratic and popularised accounts of the warning-response problem. Successful prevention or mitigation involves difficult cognitive, normative and political judgements. Whilst these difficulties cannot be eliminated, contributors suggest ways in which organisations, journalists, scientists and decision-makers can at least mitigate them.
588 $a Description based on print version record.
650 0 $a Risk $x Forecasting. $3 642186
650 0 $a Risk assessment. $3 182678
650 0 $a Emergency management. $3 202270
650 4 $a Social Science. $3 477089
650 7 $a NATURE $x Natural Disasters. $2 bisacsh $3 642187
650 7 $a SOCIAL SCIENCE $x Disasters & Disaster Relief. $2 bisacsh $3 566024
655 4 $a Electronic books. $2 local. $3 214472
700 1 $a De Franco, Chiara, $d 1977- $3 642184
700 1 $a Meyer, Christoph O., $d 1973- $3 642185
710 2 $a Palgrave Connect (Online service) $3 459825
776 0 8 $i Print version: $t Forecasting, warning, and responding to transnational risks. $d Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire ; New York : Palgrave Macmillan, c2011 $z 9780230297845 $w (DLC) 2011011754 $w (OCoLC)710816245
856 4 0 $3 Palgrave Connect $u https://link.springer.com/book/10.1057/9780230316911 $z An electronic book accessible through the World Wide Web; click for information
938 $a EBL - Ebook Library $b EBLB $n EBL770378
938 $a Ingram Digital eBook Collection $b IDEB $n 326663
938 $a Coutts Information Services $b COUT $n 18989705
938 $a ebrary $b EBRY $n ebr10496165
938 $a YBP Library Services $b YANK $n 7089148
994 $a C0 $b TEF