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台灣電力未來發展之研究 = A Study of the Future ...

國立高雄大學高階經營管理碩士在職專班(EMBA)

台灣電力未來發展之研究 = A Study of the Future Development of Taiwan Electric Power

Record Type:	Language materials, printed : monographic
Paralel Title:	A Study of the Future Development of Taiwan Electric Power
Author:	莊信雄,
Secondary Intellectual Responsibility:	國立高雄大學
Place of Publication:	[高雄市]
Published:	撰者;
Year of Publication:	2012[民101]
Description:	83面圖，表 : 30公分;
Subject:	電力事業
Subject:	Electric Utilities
Online resource:	http://handle.ncl.edu.tw/11296/ndltd/52461034773597008630
Notes:	參考書目：面79-83
Summary:	世界電力的需求隨著人口上升和經濟成長而隨之增加。此趨勢將衍生出能源耗盡危機及環境汙染等問題。近年也因為日本福島核電廠外洩事件，台電公司也積極擬定未來電力發展策略，而電力預測在決策過程中佔非常重要的地位，亦為電力事業之規劃、調度、開發投資等重要依據。本研究目的為1.探討台灣未來能源開發方向與可能產生的問題。2.台灣電源開發對於環境、經濟與前期用電習慣的影響與相關性3.探討並推估2011年至2020年的電力來源方向與電力政策。因此本研究收集國內外相關文獻並使用多元迴歸分析、SWOT分析，發現電力需求與經濟、環境及前期用電量有著高度相關的影響，同時預測出台灣未來十年的電力消費量。而本研究將預估結果與台電公司進行比較，發現台電公司對於台灣未來的經濟預測較為保守，所以預測出的電力消費量也較本研究為低。這表示若未來台灣經濟情況好轉(GDP約4.5%以上)，對於目前台電所規劃的裝置容量是不足的。故本研究將建議台電未來需與政府合作推廣再生能源用電(風力、太陽能)的相關策略，以因應未來電力不足和環境保護等問題。 The world electricity demand has been increasing as the increased population and economic growth. This trend will result in energy depletion crisis, environmental pollution, and other issues. Recently, due to the Japan’s Fukushima nuclear power plant incidents, Taiwan Power Company is actively planning various strategies on the future electricity development. The forecast of electricity demand plays an important role in the decision-making process on electric power sources, and it is also served as important basis for electric utilities planning, scheduling, and development investment.The main purpose of this study is to evaluate directions and problems of the future development of electric sources in Taiwan. This study implements a regression model to estimate the correlation between electricity demand and the gross domestic product (GDP), and the estimated regression model is used to forecast the electricity demand for the period 2011-2020, given an estimate of GDP growth rate of 4.5 per cent during the same period. The SWOT analysis is also undertaken to assess advantages and disadvantages of various new energy.Since the estimate of this study is slightly higher than that of Taiwan Power Company due to much higher in GDP growth, it suggests that the installed capacity for generating electricity’s to meet the future electricity demand is inadequate. Therefore, it is required of more installed capacity. This study suggests that renewable energy sources such as wind and solar energy should be developed in addition to the conventional thermal energy of coal-fired generation.

台灣電力未來發展之研究 = A Study of the Future Development of Taiwan Electric Power
莊, 信雄

台灣電力未來發展之研究 = A Study of the Future Development of Taiwan Electric Power / 莊信雄撰 - [高雄市] : 撰者, 2012[民101]. - 83面 ; 圖，表 ; 30公分.
參考書目：面79-83.
電力事業Electric Utilities

台灣電力未來發展之研究 = A Study of the Future Development of Taiwan Electric Power
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