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影響來台旅客決定性因素探討 = On the Determinants ...

國立高雄大學應用經濟學系碩士班

影響來台旅客決定性因素探討 = On the Determinants of Tourist Arrivals to Taiwan

Record Type:	Language materials, printed : monographic
Paralel Title:	On the Determinants of Tourist Arrivals to Taiwan
Author:	梁慧綺,
Secondary Intellectual Responsibility:	國立高雄大學
Place of Publication:	[高雄市]
Published:	撰者;
Year of Publication:	民104[2015]
Description:	44面圖，表 : 30公分;
Subject:	旅遊引力模型
Subject:	Taiwan tourism
Online resource:	http://handle.ncl.edu.tw/11296/ndltd/11206464690781996039
Notes:	參考書目：面43-44
Notes:	105年3月31日公開
Summary:	本研究利用1993年至2013年交通部觀光局32個國家的來台旅客資料，以旅遊引力模型來探討影響來台旅客決定性因素。本研究首先透過資料觀察近年來台旅客的特徵變化，再進行實證分析。針對全部來台旅客資料，控制了特定年份及國家效果後，利用AIC和BIC比較不同模型的迴歸結果，選出較合適的模型，藉以對觀光與商務來台旅客做進一步分析。根據本文的實證結果，人均所得較高以及與台灣貿易往來較密切的國家會為台灣帶來較多旅客，工業產值較高的國家來台旅客人數也較高。此結果同時也顯示，台灣於2008年開放中國大陸旅客來台後，對於日本觀光客的排擠效果並不存在。 The main purpose of this thesis is to analyze the determinants of tourist arrivals to Taiwan by using gravity-type models of tourism. Firstly this thesis analyzes the tourism data collected by Tourism Bureau of Taiwan, and discusses the characteristic of tourism flows to Taiwan. The data set used in this thesis is a pooled data, consisting of 32 countries, covering years 1993 to 2013. The thesis compares the estimation results of different models, and applies information criteria to examine the goodness of fit for the estimation. Based on the result, a country with higher per capita GDP and a closer trade partner with Taiwan would have more tourist arrivals to Taiwan. To do further analysis, the thesis also estimates tourism flows of for pleasure and for business respectively. The result also supports the argument that after year 2008 the substitution between Chinese and Japanese tourists to Taiwan does not exist statistically.

影響來台旅客決定性因素探討 = On the Determinants of Tourist Arrivals to Taiwan
梁, 慧綺

影響來台旅客決定性因素探討 = On the Determinants of Tourist Arrivals to Taiwan / 梁慧綺撰 - [高雄市] : 撰者, 民104[2015]. - 44面 ; 圖，表 ; 30公分.
參考書目：面43-44105年3月31日公開.
旅遊引力模型Taiwan tourism

影響來台旅客決定性因素探討 = On the Determinants of Tourist Arrivals to Taiwan
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330 $a 本研究利用1993年至2013年交通部觀光局32個國家的來台旅客資料，以旅遊引力模型來探討影響來台旅客決定性因素。本研究首先透過資料觀察近年來台旅客的特徵變化，再進行實證分析。針對全部來台旅客資料，控制了特定年份及國家效果後，利用AIC和BIC比較不同模型的迴歸結果，選出較合適的模型，藉以對觀光與商務來台旅客做進一步分析。根據本文的實證結果，人均所得較高以及與台灣貿易往來較密切的國家會為台灣帶來較多旅客，工業產值較高的國家來台旅客人數也較高。此結果同時也顯示，台灣於2008年開放中國大陸旅客來台後，對於日本觀光客的排擠效果並不存在。 The main purpose of this thesis is to analyze the determinants of tourist arrivals to Taiwan by using gravity-type models of tourism. Firstly this thesis analyzes the tourism data collected by Tourism Bureau of Taiwan, and discusses the characteristic of tourism flows to Taiwan. The data set used in this thesis is a pooled data, consisting of 32 countries, covering years 1993 to 2013. The thesis compares the estimation results of different models, and applies information criteria to examine the goodness of fit for the estimation. Based on the result, a country with higher per capita GDP and a closer trade partner with Taiwan would have more tourist arrivals to Taiwan. To do further analysis, the thesis also estimates tourism flows of for pleasure and for business respectively. The result also supports the argument that after year 2008 the substitution between Chinese and Japanese tourists to Taiwan does not exist statistically.
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