國立高雄大學圖資館 |

Language: English

Back

Overconfidence and risk taking in fo...

Demir, Imran.

Overconfidence and risk taking in foreign policy decision makingthe case of Turkey's Syria policy /

Record Type:	Electronic resources : Monograph/item
Title/Author:	Overconfidence and risk taking in foreign policy decision makingby Imran Demir.
Reminder of title:	the case of Turkey's Syria policy /
Author:	Demir, Imran.
Published:	Cham :Springer International Publishing :2017.
Description:	xvii, 142 p. :ill., digital ;24 cm.
Contained By:	Springer eBooks
Subject:	International relationsDecision making.
Online resource:	http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-52605-8
ISBN:	9783319526058$q(electronic bk.)

Overconfidence and risk taking in foreign policy decision makingthe case of Turkey's Syria policy /
Demir, Imran.

Overconfidence and risk taking in foreign policy decision makingthe case of Turkey's Syria policy /[electronic resource] :by Imran Demir. - Cham :Springer International Publishing :2017. - xvii, 142 p. :ill., digital ;24 cm.

1. Introduction -- 2. The Relevant Literature on Past Outcomes, Overconfidence and Risk Taking -- 3. Modeling the Relationship between Past Outcomes, Overconfidence and Risk Taking-- 4. The Turkish Policy to Remove Syrian President Assad: Overconfidence Obscures Risks and Magnifies Failure -- 5. Why Turkish Overconfidence Was Too Obvious -- 6. Conclusion.

This book introduces a new perspective on risk seeking behaviour, developing a framework based on various cognitive theories, and applying it to the specific case-study of Turkey's foreign policy toward Syria. The author examines why policy makers commit themselves to polices that they do not have the capacity to deliver, and develops an alternative theoretical model to prospect theory in explaining risk taking behaviour based on the concept of overconfidence. The volume suggests that overconfident individuals exhibit risk seeking behaviour that contradicts the risk averse behaviour of individuals in the domain of gain, as predicted by prospect theory. Using a set of testable hypothesis deduced from the model, it presents an empirical investigation of the causes behind Turkish decision makers' unprecedented level of risk taking toward the uprising in Syria and the consequences of this policy.

ISBN: 9783319526058$q(electronic bk.)

Standard No.: 10.1007/978-3-319-52605-8doiSubjects--Topical Terms:

190118
International relations
--Decision making.

LC Class. No.: JZ1253 / .D46 2017

Dewey Class. No.: 327.101

Overconfidence and risk taking in foreign policy decision makingthe case of Turkey's Syria policy /
LDR:02269nmm a2200313 a 4500 001 509459
003 DE-He213
005 20170324105457.0
006 m d
007 cr nn 008maaau
008 171121s2017 gw s 0 eng d
020 $a 9783319526058$q(electronic bk.)
020 $a 9783319526041$q(paper)
024 7 $a 10.1007/978-3-319-52605-8 $2 doi
035 $a 978-3-319-52605-8
040 $a GP $c GP
041 0 $a eng
050 4 $a JZ1253 $b .D46 2017
072 7 $a JPA $2 bicssc
072 7 $a POL010000 $2 bisacsh
082 0 4 $a 327.101 $2 23
090 $a JZ1253 $b .D381 2017
100 1 $a Demir, Imran. $3 776305
245 1 0 $a Overconfidence and risk taking in foreign policy decision making $h [electronic resource] : $b the case of Turkey's Syria policy / $c by Imran Demir.
260 $a Cham : $b Springer International Publishing : $b Imprint: Palgrave Macmillan, $c 2017.
300 $a xvii, 142 p. : $b ill., digital ; $c 24 cm.
505 0 $a 1. Introduction -- 2. The Relevant Literature on Past Outcomes, Overconfidence and Risk Taking -- 3. Modeling the Relationship between Past Outcomes, Overconfidence and Risk Taking-- 4. The Turkish Policy to Remove Syrian President Assad: Overconfidence Obscures Risks and Magnifies Failure -- 5. Why Turkish Overconfidence Was Too Obvious -- 6. Conclusion.
520 $a This book introduces a new perspective on risk seeking behaviour, developing a framework based on various cognitive theories, and applying it to the specific case-study of Turkey's foreign policy toward Syria. The author examines why policy makers commit themselves to polices that they do not have the capacity to deliver, and develops an alternative theoretical model to prospect theory in explaining risk taking behaviour based on the concept of overconfidence. The volume suggests that overconfident individuals exhibit risk seeking behaviour that contradicts the risk averse behaviour of individuals in the domain of gain, as predicted by prospect theory. Using a set of testable hypothesis deduced from the model, it presents an empirical investigation of the causes behind Turkish decision makers' unprecedented level of risk taking toward the uprising in Syria and the consequences of this policy.
650 0 $a International relations $x Decision making. $3 190118
650 1 4 $a Political Science and International Relations. $3 731583
650 2 4 $a Political Theory. $3 560010
650 2 4 $a Foreign Policy. $3 747812
650 2 4 $a Middle Eastern Politics. $3 747817
650 2 4 $a Comparative Politics. $3 558177
650 2 4 $a Diplomacy. $3 190709
710 2 $a SpringerLink (Online service) $3 273601
773 0 $t Springer eBooks
856 4 0 $u http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-52605-8
950 $a Political Science and International Studies (Springer-41174)