國立高雄大學圖資館 |

Clear thinkingstructured analytic techniques and strategic foresight analysis for decisionmakers /

紀錄類型:	書目-電子資源 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:	Clear thinkingby Randolph H. Pherson, Ole Donner, Oliver Gnad.
其他題名:	structured analytic techniques and strategic foresight analysis for decisionmakers /
作者:	Pherson, Randolph H.
其他作者:	Donner, Ole.
出版者:	Cham :Springer Nature Switzerland :2024.
面頁冊數:	xix, 243 p. :ill. (some col.), digital ;24 cm.
Contained By:	Springer Nature eBook
標題:	Thought and thinking.
電子資源:	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-48766-8
ISBN:	9783031487668$q(electronic bk.)

Clear thinkingstructured analytic techniques and strategic foresight analysis for decisionmakers /
Pherson, Randolph H.

Clear thinkingstructured analytic techniques and strategic foresight analysis for decisionmakers /[electronic resource] :by Randolph H. Pherson, Ole Donner, Oliver Gnad. - Cham :Springer Nature Switzerland :2024. - xix, 243 p. :ill. (some col.), digital ;24 cm. - Professional practice in governance and public organizations,2731-9784. - Professional practice in governance and public organizations..

Chapter 1. Setting the Stage -- Chapter 2. Understanding How We Think: System I and System 2 -- Chapter 3. Conceptualizing Your Topic -- Chapter 4. Blackout In Berlin! -- Chapter 5. Terror in Stockholm -- Chapter 6. Conflict or Cooperation in the Arctic? -- Chapter 7. Optimizing the Impact of Your Product -- Chapter 8. Outlook.

This book enables analysts in government and the private sector as well as policy advisors and decision makers to assess global risks and opportunities systematically, make well-founded and informed decisions, and anticipate the unanticipated. The authors illuminate the basics of intuitive and analytical thinking and how structured techniques can mitigate the impact of cognitive biases, misapplied heuristics, and intuitive traps. Three case studies illustrate how to apply over 30 Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) with step-by-step instructions. The final chapter focuses on how to optimize the impact of your analytic product, be it a paper, briefing, or digital display.

ISBN: 9783031487668$q(electronic bk.)

Standard No.: 10.1007/978-3-031-48766-8doiSubjects--Topical Terms:

186890
Thought and thinking.

LC Class. No.: BF441

Dewey Class. No.: 153.42

Clear thinkingstructured analytic techniques and strategic foresight analysis for decisionmakers /
LDR:02163nmm a2200337 a 4500 001 662576
003 DE-He213
005 20240228150539.0
006 m d
007 cr nn 008maaau
008 241203s2024 sz s 0 eng d
020 $a 9783031487668$q(electronic bk.)
020 $a 9783031487651$q(paper)
024 7 $a 10.1007/978-3-031-48766-8 $2 doi
035 $a 978-3-031-48766-8
040 $a GP $c GP
041 0 $a eng
050 4 $a BF441
072 7 $a JPS $2 bicssc
072 7 $a POL012000 $2 bisacsh
072 7 $a JPS $2 thema
082 0 4 $a 153.42 $2 23
090 $a BF441 $b .P542 2024
100 1 $a Pherson, Randolph H. $3 974860
245 1 0 $a Clear thinking $h [electronic resource] : $b structured analytic techniques and strategic foresight analysis for decisionmakers / $c by Randolph H. Pherson, Ole Donner, Oliver Gnad.
260 $a Cham : $b Springer Nature Switzerland : $b Imprint: Springer, $c 2024.
300 $a xix, 243 p. : $b ill. (some col.), digital ; $c 24 cm.
490 1 $a Professional practice in governance and public organizations, $x 2731-9784
505 0 $a Chapter 1. Setting the Stage -- Chapter 2. Understanding How We Think: System I and System 2 -- Chapter 3. Conceptualizing Your Topic -- Chapter 4. Blackout In Berlin! -- Chapter 5. Terror in Stockholm -- Chapter 6. Conflict or Cooperation in the Arctic? -- Chapter 7. Optimizing the Impact of Your Product -- Chapter 8. Outlook.
520 $a This book enables analysts in government and the private sector as well as policy advisors and decision makers to assess global risks and opportunities systematically, make well-founded and informed decisions, and anticipate the unanticipated. The authors illuminate the basics of intuitive and analytical thinking and how structured techniques can mitigate the impact of cognitive biases, misapplied heuristics, and intuitive traps. Three case studies illustrate how to apply over 30 Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) with step-by-step instructions. The final chapter focuses on how to optimize the impact of your analytic product, be it a paper, briefing, or digital display.
650 0 $a Thought and thinking. $3 186890
650 0 $a Logic. $3 180785
650 0 $a Decision making $x Psychological aspects. $3 238938
650 1 4 $a International Security Studies. $3 774426
650 2 4 $a Governance and Government. $3 773331
650 2 4 $a Cognitive Psychology. $3 273717
650 2 4 $a Political Leadership. $3 773376
650 2 4 $a Political History. $3 739837
700 1 $a Donner, Ole. $3 974861
700 1 $a Gnad, Oliver. $3 974862
710 2 $a SpringerLink (Online service) $3 273601
773 0 $t Springer Nature eBook
830 0 $a Professional practice in governance and public organizations. $3 956446
856 4 0 $u https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-48766-8
950 $a Behavioral Science and Psychology (SpringerNature-41168)