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以工具變數探討台灣勞動需求彈性 = Estimate the elast...

劉東霖

以工具變數探討台灣勞動需求彈性 = Estimate the elasticity of Taiwan’s labor demand: The method of instrumental variable

紀錄類型:	書目-語言資料,印刷品 : 單行本
並列題名:	Estimate the elasticity of Taiwan’s labor demand: The method of instrumental variable
作者:	劉東霖,
其他團體作者:	國立高雄大學
出版地:	[高雄市]
出版者:	撰者;
出版年:	2014[民103]
面頁冊數:	96面圖，表 : 30公分;
標題:	勞動需求彈性
標題:	Labor Demand Elasticity
電子資源:	http://handle.ncl.edu.tw/11296/ndltd/06229255280004339964
附註:	參考書目：面84-86
附註:	103年12月16日公開
摘要註:	台灣近年面臨高學歷失業與薪資停滯，而國內對此議題之討論並不多，了解台灣當前勞動需求為政府制定相關政策之前的重要依據，本文探討之對象為具備大學學歷之高學歷工作者，藉由工具變數法估計台灣勞動需求彈性，以了解勞動需求的現況。由於政府在2001年後推動高等教育政策使得具備大學學歷之畢業生人數上升，我們以畢業生人數此一外生變動做為影響勞動供給之工具變數，本文利用1978-2012年「人力資源運用調查資料」中所含薪資與工作時數資料，與1972-2011年「大專校院各校科系別畢業生數」中每年畢業人數的變化，由薪資與工作時數受外生變動影響的程度來估計勞動需求彈性。由初步資料分析，我們發現政府在2001年推動高等教育政策後，畢業於工與商管類教育背景的工作者大幅增加，且其中年齡層介於25-44歲青壯族群工作者的總工作時數大幅上升。本研究不僅估計推動高等教育後的勞動需求彈性，亦會對整體期間所含之資料進行估計，在政府實施高等教育政策後的2001-2011年間，勞動市場對大學畢業生的整體勞動需求彈性約為-17，若將資料依年齡層分類來進行估計，則2001-2011期間25-34歲工作者的勞動需求彈性介於-22到-24間，依性別分類則得知男性的勞動需求彈性小於女性，其中男性勞動需求彈性約為-1至-13之間，女性約為-1至-10之間。本文接著將2001-2011期間具備大學學歷之工作者分組，估計畢業於不同教育背景工作者的勞動需求彈性，其中受高等教育政策影響最深，對大學畢業於工與商管教育背景的工作者而言，其勞動需求彈性分別為-1.695與-1.859。 In recent years, Taiwan faces problems of high unemployment rates of educated workers and wage rigidity. However, studies related to these topics are rare in Taiwan. Labor demand is important for the government before implementing relating policies. We focus on workers who graduated from college. We estimate the labor demand elasticity of Taiwan using the instrumental variable method. Because college graduates increase significantly after the White Paper of Higher Education Policy published in 2001, we use variations in the number of graduates as our instrument which relates to the labor supply. We use the 1978-2012 Manpower Utilization Survey to obtain the real wage and working hours, and use the data of the “Number of Graduates from Universities, Colleges and Junior Colleges” collecting by the Ministry of Education as instruments to estimate the labor demand elasticity. After the White Paper of Higher Education Policy published in 2001, the working hours of workers who are aged from 25-44 years old and majoring in Engineering and Business increase significantly. We also estimate the labor demand elasticity for the whole period from 1978-2011. When we use the number of graduate as instrumental variable to estimate the labor elasticity after the White Paper of Higher Education Policy published in 2001, we find that the labor demand elasticity is about -17. The elasticities of workers who aged from 25-34 years old are about -22 to -24. Overall, the labor demand elasticity of male worker is smaller than female. The labor demand elasticity of male is around -1 to -13 and it is around -1 to -10 for female. For a specific educational background, the labor demand elasticity of workers majoring in Business and Engineering who are affected the most by the policy is -1.859 and -1.695.

以工具變數探討台灣勞動需求彈性 = Estimate the elasticity of Taiwan’s labor demand: The method of instrumental variable
劉, 東霖

以工具變數探討台灣勞動需求彈性 = Estimate the elasticity of Taiwan’s labor demand: The method of instrumental variable / 劉東霖撰 - [高雄市] : 撰者, 2014[民103]. - 96面 ; 圖，表 ; 30公分.
參考書目：面84-86103年12月16日公開.
勞動需求彈性Labor Demand Elasticity

以工具變數探討台灣勞動需求彈性 = Estimate the elasticity of Taiwan’s labor demand: The method of instrumental variable
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